Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +15.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (87-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| K. Sabas * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Smith * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| W. Bell * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Smith | 29 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Carr | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Williams | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Mann | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Calcaterra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rivers * | 30 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Thornton * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| S. Curry * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Q. Cook | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hairston | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 12 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Gbinije | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter