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2012-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 16 21 -
D. Finney-Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 2 7 19 -
D. Hudson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
C. Raines * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
J. Eddie * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
R. Brown 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 16 20 -
C.J. Barksdale 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Rankin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rivers * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 17 25 -
M. Plumlee * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 3 3 12 22 -
T. Thornton * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 13 22 -
S. Curry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 0 2 9 19 -
M. Plumlee * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
J. Hairston 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
A. Dawkins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Q. Cook 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter