Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -15 (60-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Seth Curry | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Green * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Eddie * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| V. Davila * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| M. Rankin * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Finney-Smith * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Hudson | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Brown | 22 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Raines | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Barksdale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter