Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood * | 39 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Brown * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 25 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Howell * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Painter | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. de Thaey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Curry * | 31 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 33 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 9 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter