Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Larkin * | 38 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 35 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | - |
| D. Scott * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Kadji * | 32 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Grant * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Jones | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| R. Brown | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. McKinney-Jones | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rivers * | 43 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Dawkins * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Hairston * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Thornton * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Curry | 39 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Q. Cook | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 26 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter