Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (73-76). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bernard James * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Luke Loucks * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Okaro White | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ian Miller | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 36 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 24 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter