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2012-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Snaer * 33 6-10 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 14 11 -
B. James * 32 5-7 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 2 2 12 16 -
D. Dulkys * 30 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 12 10 -
L. Loucks * 29 2-6 0-2 4-6 3 4 2 0 1 8 10 -
X. Gibson * 22 4-8 1-1 7-8 5 1 0 3 2 16 15 -
O. White 18 1-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
I. Miller 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
J. Peterson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Kreft 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Whisnant 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rivers * 38 7-16 2-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 19 7 -
S. Curry * 36 4-16 2-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 12 0 -
M. Plumlee * 30 2-4 0-0 2-3 6 3 0 1 2 6 10 -
A. Dawkins * 28 5-10 3-7 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
M. Plumlee * 26 2-5 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
R. Kelly 24 3-9 2-2 2-4 4 1 3 0 2 10 7 -
T. Thornton 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
Q. Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter