Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | +14.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +30 (85-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Jackson-Cartwright * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -6 | - |
| Zack Rosen * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Bernardini * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rob Belcore * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Henry Brooks * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Steve Rennard | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Fran Dougherty | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marin Kukoc | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Howlett | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Lucas-Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Simeon Esprit | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dau Jok | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Camryn Crocker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keelan Cairns | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 26 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter