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2012-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 82.0% 18.0% -
Bradley-Terry 79.7% 20.3% -
Margin 84.3% 15.7% -9.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.1% 29.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rivers * 36 5-12 0-3 0-1 4 2 3 0 3 10 4 -
R. Kelly * 31 7-13 4-5 5-6 8 0 1 2 1 23 20 -
T. Thornton * 30 1-3 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
M. Plumlee * 26 1-3 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 2 2 3 12 -
S. Curry * 26 5-12 3-5 2-3 3 2 0 1 0 15 9 -
M. Plumlee 22 2-4 0-0 8-9 7 2 1 2 2 12 18 -
Q. Cook 17 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 6 7 -
A. Dawkins 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Gbinije 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Godwin 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ingle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Keenan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Harris * 39 4-14 1-6 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 11 1 -
T. Chennault * 34 5-12 0-3 8-10 4 2 1 0 2 18 11 -
N. Mescheriakov * 33 7-13 2-3 2-3 5 4 0 0 1 18 13 -
T. McKie * 30 6-10 1-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 14 7 -
T. Walker * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 0 2 -
C. Desrosiers 22 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 9 -
C. Fischer 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Green 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter