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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Maymon * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 0 4 14 26 -
C. Tatum * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 10 19 -
J. McRae * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 11 11 -
T. Golden * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 13 13 -
K. Hall * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 6 13 -
W. Washpun 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
R. Woolridge 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
Y. Makanjuola 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. McBee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Richardson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Miller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Curry * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 17 21 -
M. Plumlee * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 3 8 19 -
A. Dawkins * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Rivers * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 18 22 -
R. Kelly * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 17 24 -
M. Plumlee 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 5 12 -
T. Thornton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Q. Cook 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
J. Hairston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter