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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeronne Maymon * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 0 4 14 26 -
Cameron Tatum * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 10 19 -
Jordan McRae * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 11 11 -
Trae Golden * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 13 13 -
Kenny Hall * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 6 13 -
Wes Washpun 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
Renaldo Woolridge 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
Y. Makanjuola 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Skylar McBee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Josh Richardson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Dwight Miller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 17 21 -
M. Plumlee * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 3 8 19 -
Andre Dawkins * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
Austin Rivers * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 18 22 -
Ryan Kelly * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 17 24 -
M. Plumlee 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 5 12 -
Tyler Thornton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Quinn Cook 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
Josh Hairston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter