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2012-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.3% 69.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eddie * 41 2-5 1-2 0-0 9 5 1 0 0 5 15 -
E. Green * 40 7-19 0-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 2 16 0 -
D. Finney-Smith * 39 2-11 1-4 1-8 12 3 2 1 0 6 13 -
C. Raines * 39 7-10 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 2 2 16 11 -
D. Hudson * 34 6-13 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 16 6 -
R. Brown 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C.J. Barksdale 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Rankin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rivers * 41 5-12 2-6 11-17 4 1 0 0 2 23 14 -
S. Curry * 40 7-15 1-6 4-5 2 1 1 1 1 19 8 -
T. Thornton * 38 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
M. Plumlee * 33 1-3 0-0 3-4 15 0 0 0 1 5 16 -
R. Kelly * 31 2-6 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
M. Plumlee 25 3-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 2 7 11 -
A. Dawkins 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
Q. Cook 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Hairston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter