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2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Snaer * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 2 1 16 29 -
L. Loucks * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 4 9 15 -
B. James * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 13 21 -
D. Dulkys * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
X. Gibson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 4 7 -
O. White 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 9 15 -
I. Miller 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 7 4 -
J. Peterson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Kreft 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Plumlee * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 4 2 9 24 -
A. Rivers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 17 23 -
S. Curry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 13 17 -
T. Thornton * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
M. Plumlee * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 8 11 -
J. Hairston 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
A. Dawkins 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Q. Cook 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 5 8 -

* = starter