Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Mosley * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nick Faust * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Terrell Stoglin * | 30 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| James Padgett * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ashton Pankey * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mychal Parker | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alex Len | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Berend Weijs | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Arnold Richmond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 40 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter