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Duke

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2012 Team Stats (26 games)

78.8
PPG
69.2
Opp
+9.6
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
38.1
RPG
13.1
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.0
Adj PPG
63.6
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1364 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1099 (#53) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +15.5 (#14) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +10.4 (#39) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.796 (#37) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.7 More → 0.939 (#18) AdjNet +23.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.9 More → 0.940 (#18) AdjNet +23.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.788 (#14) AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.650 (#45) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.822 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 34 More → 1274 (#23) RD 113 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Belmont Bruins W 77 - 76
2011-11-12 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 96 - 55
2011-11-15 @ Michigan State Spartans W 74 - 69
2011-11-18 vs Davidson Wildcats W 82 - 69
2011-11-21 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 77 - 67
2011-11-22 vs Michigan Wolverines W 82 - 75
2011-11-23 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 68 - 61
2011-11-29 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 85
2011-12-07 vs Colorado State Rams W 87 - 64
2011-12-10 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 80
2011-12-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 90 - 63
2011-12-30 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 110 - 70
2012-01-01 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 85 - 55
2012-01-04 @ Temple Owls L 73 - 78
2012-01-07 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 81 - 74
2012-01-12 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 58
2012-01-15 @ Clemson Tigers W 73 - 66
2012-01-19 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 91 - 73
2012-01-21 vs Florida State Seminoles L 73 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Maryland Terrapins W 74 - 61
2012-01-28 vs St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 76
2012-02-02 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 75 - 60
2012-02-05 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 78
2012-02-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 85 - 84
2012-02-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 73 - 55
2012-02-16 vs NC State Wolfpack W 78 - 73
2012-02-19 @ Boston College Eagles W 75 - 50
2012-02-23 @ Florida State Seminoles W 74 - 66
2012-02-25 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 65
2012-02-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 71
2012-03-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 88
2012-03-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 60 - 56
2012-03-10 vs Florida State Seminoles L 59 - 62
2012-03-16 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 70 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Austin Rivers Austin Rivers G 34 33.2 15.5 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 2.3 10.1 9.6 259 29 8.9 12.0 44.7 38.0 65.0 4.28 64.1 52.3
Seth Curry Seth Curry G 34 30.2 13.2 2.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 2.0 8.6 9.1 184 29 6.3 9.3 42.5 38.7 85.7 1.17 67.6 51.9
Ryan Kelly Ryan Kelly F 31 25.9 11.8 5.4 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.4 6.8 11.9 206 26 7.9 13.6 43.9 40.2 79.4 3.46 68.6 51.7
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 28.4 11.1 9.2 1.6 0.8 1.6 2.2 6.5 15.6 119 29 4.1 6.5 57.7 0 49.7 -1.4 66.5 57.7
Andre Dawkins Andre Dawkins G 34 22.4 8.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 5.8 4.9 125 29 4.3 8.7 39.8 38.5 71.4 -0.67 66.4 54.3
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 34 20.5 6.6 7.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 3.9 10.7 194 29 6.7 14.8 62.6 0 64.6 4.46 70.8 62.6
Quinn Cook Quinn Cook G 33 11.7 4.4 1.0 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.2 4.1 97 28 3.5 14.2 40.2 25.9 77.1 0.52 57.0 46.7
Tyler Thornton Tyler Thornton G 34 21.1 4.1 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 2.3 5.6 154 29 5.3 11.2 40.3 38.2 77.5 1.92 72.9 53.9
Josh Hairston Josh Hairston F 29 8.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.0 41 24 1.7 9.0 45.0 0.0 66.7 -0.85 55.3 45.0
Michael Gbinije Michael Gbinije F 19 5.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 12 15 0.8 6.4 55.0 40.0 100.0 -3.18 71.5 65.0
Todd Zafirovski Todd Zafirovski F 5 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.68 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG