🐻⬇️🏀

Duke

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2011 Team Stats (36 games)

80.9
PPG
64.9
Opp
+16.0
Margin
47.2%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.2
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.9
Adj PPG
60.0
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1469 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1381 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1181 (#12) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +23.1 (#2) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +20.4 (#2) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.929 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.8 More → 0.981 (#2) AdjNet +33.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.1 More → 0.981 (#2) AdjNet +34.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.880 (#2) AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 60.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.798 (#2) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.915 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.905 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 37 More → 1375 (#5) RD 98 | GP 37

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-14 vs Princeton Tigers W 97 - 60
2010-11-16 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 79 - 45
2010-11-19 vs Colgate Raiders W 110 - 58
2010-11-22 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 82 - 77
2010-11-23 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 68
2010-11-27 @ Oregon Ducks W 98 - 71
2010-12-01 vs Michigan State Spartans W 84 - 79
2010-12-04 vs Butler Bulldogs W 82 - 70
2010-12-08 vs Bradley Braves W 83 - 48
2010-12-11 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 84 - 47
2010-12-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 98 - 72
2010-12-29 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 108 - 62
2011-01-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 63
2011-01-05 vs UAB Blazers W 85 - 64
2011-01-09 vs Maryland Terrapins W 71 - 64
2011-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles L 61 - 66
2011-01-15 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 60
2011-01-19 @ NC State Wolfpack W 92 - 78
2011-01-22 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 59
2011-01-27 vs Boston College Eagles W 84 - 68
2011-01-30 @ St. John's Red Storm L 78 - 93
2011-02-02 @ Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 62
2011-02-05 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 52
2011-02-09 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 73
2011-02-13 @ Miami Hurricanes W 81 - 71
2011-02-16 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 56 - 41
2011-02-20 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 57
2011-02-23 vs Temple Owls W 78 - 61
2011-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 60 - 64
2011-03-02 vs Clemson Tigers W 70 - 59
2011-03-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 81
2011-03-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 87 - 71
2011-03-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 63
2011-03-13 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 75 - 58
2011-03-18 vs Hampton Pirates W 87 - 45
2011-03-20 vs Michigan Wolverines W 73 - 71
2011-03-24 vs Arizona Wildcats L 77 - 93

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nolan Smith Nolan Smith G 37 34.0 20.6 4.5 5.1 1.2 0.1 3.2 15.4 13.0 384 30 12.8 16.3 45.8 35.0 81.3 1.33 57.1 50.8
Kyrie Irving Kyrie Irving G 11 27.5 17.5 3.4 4.3 1.5 0.5 2.5 9.5 15.2 75 9 8.3 14.2 52.9 46.2 90.1 0.28 71.0 61.5
Kyle Singler Kyle Singler F 37 34.8 16.9 6.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 13.8 10.9 419 30 14.0 17.6 43.0 32.1 80.6 5.9 54.1 49.1
Seth Curry Seth Curry G 37 25.0 9.0 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.1 0.9 6.5 6.9 322 30 10.7 19.1 42.3 43.5 78.8 3.05 60.2 55.6
Andre Dawkins Andre Dawkins G 37 21.0 8.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 5.6 4.8 227 30 7.6 15.9 48.1 42.7 79.1 1.64 65.7 63.5
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 25.6 7.2 8.4 1.6 0.9 1.7 1.9 5.1 12.6 268 30 8.9 15.0 59.3 0.0 44.1 1.33 57.6 59.3
Ryan Kelly Ryan Kelly F 37 20.1 6.6 3.7 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.8 5.0 7.5 228 30 7.6 16.1 51.6 31.9 80.5 2.37 60.6 57.6
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 17.0 4.8 4.9 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 3.8 6.4 244 30 8.1 21.8 51.8 0 59.3 3.46 54.1 51.8
Tyler Thornton Tyler Thornton G 34 9.9 1.6 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.3 100 28 3.6 15.1 44.8 26.7 83.9 0.78 65.7 51.7
Josh Hairston Josh Hairston F 27 6.1 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 31 23 1.3 9.5 36.1 0 56.5 -3.1 42.3 36.1
Casey Peters Casey Peters G 10 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -6 5 -1.2 -41.7 0 0 0 -2.42 0 0
Todd Zafirovski Todd Zafirovski F 5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.26 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG