Denver Nuggets
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1201 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1147 (#6) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +11.5 (#3) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.589 (#11) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.577 (#11) | NetEff +3.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.765 (#8) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.767 (#8) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.724 (#8) | AdjO 113.1 | AdjD 102.5 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-24 | @ | POR | W | 108 - 100 |
| 2019-10-26 | vs | PHX | W | 108 - 107 |
| 2019-10-29 | @ | SAC | W | 101 - 94 |
| 2019-10-30 | vs | DAL | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2019-11-01 | @ | NOP | L | 107 - 122 |
| 2019-11-02 | @ | ORL | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2019-11-06 | vs | MIA | W | 109 - 89 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | PHI | W | 100 - 97 |
| 2019-11-10 | @ | MIN | W | 100 - 98 |
| 2019-11-13 | vs | ATL | L | 121 - 125 |
| 2019-11-15 | vs | BKN | W | 101 - 93 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | MEM | W | 131 - 114 |
| 2019-11-21 | vs | HOU | W | 105 - 95 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | BOS | W | 96 - 92 |
| 2019-11-25 | vs | PHX | W | 116 - 104 |
| 2019-11-27 | vs | WAS | W | 117 - 104 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ | SAC | L | 97 - 100 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | LAL | L | 96 - 105 |
| 2019-12-05 | @ | NYK | W | 129 - 92 |
| 2019-12-06 | @ | BOS | L | 95 - 108 |
| 2019-12-08 | @ | BKN | L | 102 - 105 |
| 2019-12-11 | @ | PHI | L | 92 - 97 |
| 2019-12-13 | vs | POR | W | 114 - 99 |
| 2019-12-15 | vs | OKC | W | 110 - 102 |
| 2019-12-16 | vs | NYK | W | 111 - 105 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | ORL | W | 113 - 104 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | MIN | W | 109 - 100 |
| 2019-12-23 | @ | LAL | W | 128 - 104 |
| 2019-12-24 | @ | PHX | W | 113 - 111 |
| 2019-12-26 | vs | NOP | L | 100 - 112 |
| 2019-12-28 | vs | MEM | W | 119 - 110 |
| 2019-12-30 | vs | SAC | W | 120 - 115 |
| 2020-01-01 | @ | HOU | L | 104 - 130 |
| 2020-01-03 | @ | IND | W | 124 - 116 |
| 2020-01-05 | @ | WAS | L | 114 - 128 |
| 2020-01-07 | @ | ATL | W | 123 - 115 |
| 2020-01-09 | @ | DAL | W | 107 - 106 |
| 2020-01-12 | vs | CLE | L | 103 - 111 |
| 2020-01-13 | vs | LAC | W | 114 - 104 |
| 2020-01-16 | vs | CHA | W | 100 - 86 |
| 2020-01-17 | @ | GSW | W | 134 - 131 |
| 2020-01-20 | vs | IND | L | 107 - 115 |
| 2020-01-21 | @ | MIN | W | 107 - 100 |
| 2020-01-23 | @ | HOU | L | 105 - 121 |
| 2020-01-24 | @ | NOP | W | 113 - 106 |
| 2020-01-26 | vs | HOU | W | 117 - 110 |
| 2020-01-28 | @ | MEM | L | 96 - 104 |
| 2020-01-30 | vs | UTA | W | 106 - 100 |
| 2020-01-31 | @ | MIL | W | 127 - 115 |
| 2020-02-02 | @ | DET | L | 123 - 128 |
| 2020-02-04 | vs | POR | W | 127 - 99 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ | UTA | W | 98 - 95 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | PHX | W | 117 - 108 |
| 2020-02-10 | vs | SAS | W | 127 - 120 |
| 2020-02-12 | vs | LAL | L | 116 - 120 |
| 2020-02-21 | @ | OKC | L | 101 - 113 |
| 2020-02-23 | vs | MIN | W | 128 - 116 |
| 2020-02-25 | vs | DET | W | 115 - 98 |
| 2020-02-28 | @ | LAC | L | 103 - 132 |
| 2020-03-01 | vs | TOR | W | 133 - 118 |
| 2020-03-03 | vs | GSW | L | 100 - 116 |
| 2020-03-06 | @ | CHA | W | 114 - 112 |
| 2020-03-07 | @ | CLE | L | 102 - 104 |
| 2020-03-10 | vs | MIL | W | 109 - 95 |
| 2020-03-12 | @ | DAL | L | 97 - 113 |
| 2020-08-01 | vs | MIA | L | 105 - 125 |
| 2020-08-03 | @ | OKC | W | 121 - 113 |
| 2020-08-05 | @ | SAS | W | 132 - 126 |
| 2020-08-06 | vs | POR | L | 115 - 125 |
| 2020-08-08 | vs | UTA | W | 134 - 132 |
| 2020-08-10 | @ | LAL | L | 121 - 124 |
| 2020-08-12 | vs | LAC | L | 111 - 124 |
| 2020-08-14 | @ | TOR | L | 109 - 117 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nikola JokiΔ
|
C | 26 | 31.8 | 21.3 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 25.1 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 30.0 | 88.4 | - | 62.8 | 58.1 |
Jamal Murray
|
PG | 59 | 31.8 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 15.2 | 13.6 | - | - | - | 45.6 | 34.6 | 88.1 | - | 55.9 | 51.9 |
Will Barton
|
SG | 58 | 32.5 | 15.1 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12.7 | 13.8 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 37.5 | 76.7 | - | 54.9 | 52.3 |
Jerami Grant
|
PF | 71 | 26.2 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 47.8 | 38.9 | 75.0 | - | 59.1 | 55.5 |
MontΓ© Morris
|
G | 26 | 26.8 | 11.7 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 49.6 | 37.3 | 85.4 | - | 59.6 | 56.2 |
Paul Millsap
|
PF | 51 | 23.7 | 11.6 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 11.8 | - | - | - | 48.2 | 43.5 | 81.6 | - | 59.1 | 54.3 |
Gary Harris
|
SG | 56 | 31.3 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 33.3 | 81.5 | - | 51.9 | 48.7 |
Michael Porter Jr.
|
SF | 55 | 16.0 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 42.2 | 83.3 | - | 61.7 | 59.0 |
Malik Beasley
|
- | 41 | 17.7 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 36.0 | 86.8 | - | 51.1 | 48.5 |
Mason Plumlee
|
C | 61 | 16.8 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 61.5 | 0.0 | 53.5 | - | 61.3 | 61.5 |
Bol Bol
|
- | 6 | 13.8 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 44.4 | 80.0 | - | 61.7 | 57.1 |
PJ Dozier
|
- | 29 | 13.7 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5.4 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 41.4 | 34.7 | 72.4 | - | 49.5 | 46.8 |
Torrey Craig
|
SF | 58 | 18.0 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 46.1 | 32.6 | 61.1 | - | 55.3 | 54.5 |
Keita Bates-Diop
|
- | 7 | 13.6 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 33.3 | 80.0 | - | 57.1 | 51.8 |
| Troy Daniels | - | 6 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 30.0 | 0 | - | 46.4 | 46.4 |
Juancho Hernangomez
|
- | 34 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 34.5 | 25.0 | 64.0 | - | 44.2 | 41.4 |
| Jordan McRae | - | 4 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 58.0 | 50.0 |
Tyler Cook
|
- | 2 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
Vlatko ΔanΔar
|
- | 5 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.1 | 36.4 |
Noah Vonleh
|
- | 7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 83.8 | 91.7 |
Jarred Vanderbilt
|
- | 9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG