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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1201 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1147 (#6) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More β†’ +11.5 (#3) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.589 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.4 More β†’ 0.577 (#11) NetEff +3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.3 More β†’ 0.765 (#8) AdjNet +10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More β†’ 0.767 (#8) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 113.1 | AdjD 102.5 More β†’ 0.724 (#8) AdjO 113.1 | AdjD 102.5

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-24 @ POR W 108 - 100
2019-10-26 vs PHX W 108 - 107
2019-10-29 @ SAC W 101 - 94
2019-10-30 vs DAL L 106 - 109
2019-11-01 @ NOP L 107 - 122
2019-11-02 @ ORL W 91 - 87
2019-11-06 vs MIA W 109 - 89
2019-11-09 vs PHI W 100 - 97
2019-11-10 @ MIN W 100 - 98
2019-11-13 vs ATL L 121 - 125
2019-11-15 vs BKN W 101 - 93
2019-11-17 @ MEM W 131 - 114
2019-11-21 vs HOU W 105 - 95
2019-11-23 vs BOS W 96 - 92
2019-11-25 vs PHX W 116 - 104
2019-11-27 vs WAS W 117 - 104
2019-11-30 @ SAC L 97 - 100
2019-12-04 vs LAL L 96 - 105
2019-12-05 @ NYK W 129 - 92
2019-12-06 @ BOS L 95 - 108
2019-12-08 @ BKN L 102 - 105
2019-12-11 @ PHI L 92 - 97
2019-12-13 vs POR W 114 - 99
2019-12-15 vs OKC W 110 - 102
2019-12-16 vs NYK W 111 - 105
2019-12-19 vs ORL W 113 - 104
2019-12-21 vs MIN W 109 - 100
2019-12-23 @ LAL W 128 - 104
2019-12-24 @ PHX W 113 - 111
2019-12-26 vs NOP L 100 - 112
2019-12-28 vs MEM W 119 - 110
2019-12-30 vs SAC W 120 - 115
2020-01-01 @ HOU L 104 - 130
2020-01-03 @ IND W 124 - 116
2020-01-05 @ WAS L 114 - 128
2020-01-07 @ ATL W 123 - 115
2020-01-09 @ DAL W 107 - 106
2020-01-12 vs CLE L 103 - 111
2020-01-13 vs LAC W 114 - 104
2020-01-16 vs CHA W 100 - 86
2020-01-17 @ GSW W 134 - 131
2020-01-20 vs IND L 107 - 115
2020-01-21 @ MIN W 107 - 100
2020-01-23 @ HOU L 105 - 121
2020-01-24 @ NOP W 113 - 106
2020-01-26 vs HOU W 117 - 110
2020-01-28 @ MEM L 96 - 104
2020-01-30 vs UTA W 106 - 100
2020-01-31 @ MIL W 127 - 115
2020-02-02 @ DET L 123 - 128
2020-02-04 vs POR W 127 - 99
2020-02-05 @ UTA W 98 - 95
2020-02-08 @ PHX W 117 - 108
2020-02-10 vs SAS W 127 - 120
2020-02-12 vs LAL L 116 - 120
2020-02-21 @ OKC L 101 - 113
2020-02-23 vs MIN W 128 - 116
2020-02-25 vs DET W 115 - 98
2020-02-28 @ LAC L 103 - 132
2020-03-01 vs TOR W 133 - 118
2020-03-03 vs GSW L 100 - 116
2020-03-06 @ CHA W 114 - 112
2020-03-07 @ CLE L 102 - 104
2020-03-10 vs MIL W 109 - 95
2020-03-12 @ DAL L 97 - 113
2020-08-01 vs MIA L 105 - 125
2020-08-03 @ OKC W 121 - 113
2020-08-05 @ SAS W 132 - 126
2020-08-06 vs POR L 115 - 125
2020-08-08 vs UTA W 134 - 132
2020-08-10 @ LAL L 121 - 124
2020-08-12 vs LAC L 111 - 124
2020-08-14 @ TOR L 109 - 117

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nikola Jokić Nikola Jokić C 26 31.8 21.3 9.0 7.7 1.5 0.7 0.0 15.0 25.1 - - - 55.0 30.0 88.4 - 62.8 58.1
Jamal Murray Jamal Murray PG 59 31.8 18.5 4.0 4.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 15.2 13.6 - - - 45.6 34.6 88.1 - 55.9 51.9
Will Barton Will Barton SG 58 32.5 15.1 6.3 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.0 12.7 13.8 - - - 45.0 37.5 76.7 - 54.9 52.3
Jerami Grant Jerami Grant PF 71 26.2 12.0 3.5 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 8.9 9.3 - - - 47.8 38.9 75.0 - 59.1 55.5
MontΓ© Morris MontΓ© Morris G 26 26.8 11.7 2.3 3.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 9.5 - - - 49.6 37.3 85.4 - 59.6 56.2
Paul Millsap Paul Millsap PF 51 23.7 11.6 5.7 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 8.6 11.8 - - - 48.2 43.5 81.6 - 59.1 54.3
Gary Harris Gary Harris SG 56 31.3 10.4 2.9 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.3 7.7 - - - 42.0 33.3 81.5 - 51.9 48.7
Michael Porter Jr. Michael Porter Jr. SF 55 16.0 9.3 4.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 7.0 8.8 - - - 50.9 42.2 83.3 - 61.7 59.0
Malik Beasley Malik Beasley - 41 17.7 7.9 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.3 4.5 - - - 38.9 36.0 86.8 - 51.1 48.5
Mason Plumlee Mason Plumlee C 61 16.8 7.2 5.2 2.5 0.5 0.6 0.0 4.7 11.3 - - - 61.5 0.0 53.5 - 61.3 61.5
Bol Bol Bol Bol - 6 13.8 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 4.7 7.5 - - - 50.0 44.4 80.0 - 61.7 57.1
PJ Dozier PJ Dozier - 29 13.7 5.8 1.9 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.4 5.1 - - - 41.4 34.7 72.4 - 49.5 46.8
Torrey Craig Torrey Craig SF 58 18.0 5.4 3.3 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 4.6 5.9 - - - 46.1 32.6 61.1 - 55.3 54.5
Keita Bates-Diop Keita Bates-Diop - 7 13.6 5.3 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 4.0 4.6 - - - 46.4 33.3 80.0 - 57.1 51.8
Troy Daniels - 6 12.3 4.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.7 1.7 - - - 35.7 30.0 0 - 46.4 46.4
Juancho Hernangomez Juancho Hernangomez - 34 12.0 3.1 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2 3.6 - - - 34.5 25.0 64.0 - 44.2 41.4
Jordan McRae - 4 7.5 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 3.8 - - - 33.3 50.0 75.0 - 58.0 50.0
Tyler Cook Tyler Cook - 2 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Vlatko Čančar Vlatko Čančar - 5 5.2 2.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.2 1.6 - - - 36.4 0.0 100.0 - 42.1 36.4
Noah Vonleh Noah Vonleh - 7 3.7 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.4 - - - 83.3 100.0 50.0 - 83.8 91.7
Jarred Vanderbilt Jarred Vanderbilt - 9 4.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.9 - - - 71.4 0 0 - 71.4 71.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG