Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | β (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 35 | 13-25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 28 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 18 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 17 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 16 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 11-21 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 19 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter