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2020-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: LA Clippers +29 (132-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 28 7-14 4-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 18 - -
Jamal Murray * 26 5-12 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Nikola Jokić * 25 9-13 0-2 3-4 9 2 1 0 21 - -
Gary Harris * 24 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Paul Millsap * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Jerami Grant 29 5-15 2-5 8-10 4 2 2 1 20 - -
Monté Morris 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 3 2 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Mason Plumlee 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 5 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 9 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 7 - -
Jordan McRae 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
PJ Dozier 5 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Vlatko Čančar 4 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 25 6-12 1-5 6-8 2 5 2 0 19 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 25 2-10 0-5 2-2 4 1 2 1 6 - -
Paul George * 25 9-15 6-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 24 - -
Ivica Zubac * 22 3-3 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Patrick Beverley * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Landry Shamet 23 4-9 2-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Lou Williams 22 6-12 5-7 0-0 2 7 1 0 17 - -
JaMychal Green 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 7-12 0-0 4-4 10 4 0 3 18 - -
Reggie Jackson 18 4-6 2-4 0-0 8 7 1 0 10 - -
Amir Coffey 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Patterson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rodney McGruder 4 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter