Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | β (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 41 | 12-23 | 3-6 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 41 | 15-29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 44 | 13-25 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter