Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | β (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 38 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 36 | 9-17 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 31 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter