Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (115-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 40 | 4-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 13-21 | 11-18 | 8-10 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 43 | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 34 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 36 | 10-15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - | |
| Monté Morris * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 21 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter