Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | β (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 23 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 22 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 9-21 | 5-11 | 6-10 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 32 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dion Waiters | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter