Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -16 (100-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mychal Mulder * | 34 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 35 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 22 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dragan Bender | 22 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Čančar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter