Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (108-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 30 | 13-21 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 20 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 29 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 28 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vincent Poirier | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter