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2019-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - βœ“
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 βœ“ (36.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% - βœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -37 (92-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 24 6-9 4-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 17 - -
Nikola Jokić * 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 10 8 0 1 6 - -
Jamal Murray * 22 5-9 1-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Paul Millsap * 21 4-10 1-4 1-2 6 3 0 2 10 - -
Gary Harris * 21 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
MontΓ© Morris 25 6-9 1-3 2-2 3 6 3 1 15 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 23 4-12 4-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley 23 5-9 3-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Jerami Grant 21 6-9 3-5 1-4 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Mason Plumlee 20 5-5 0-0 1-2 11 6 3 1 11 - -
Michael Porter Jr. 5 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 26 4-13 2-9 0-0 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 23 3-5 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Julius Randle * 21 2-9 0-3 2-4 4 4 0 0 6 - -
RJ Barrett * 21 4-10 1-5 0-0 3 5 3 1 9 - -
Taj Gibson * 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 29 6-8 0-0 5-8 7 1 2 1 17 - -
Bobby Portis 26 3-8 0-3 4-5 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Kevin Knox II 21 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 17 1-7 0-2 2-4 3 4 0 1 4 - -
Elfrid Payton 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Wayne Ellington 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 - -
Allonzo Trier 6 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Damyean Dotson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter