Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (106-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 37 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 35 | 6-14 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 30 | 13-22 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Emmanuel Mudiay | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter