Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | β (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (126-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 11-19 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 31 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 34 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 33 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter