Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | β (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (108-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 14-17 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 33 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 17 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 42 | 7-19 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 42 | 13-21 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter