Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 9-20 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 24 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 14 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Čančar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 25 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter