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2020-08-12

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - βœ—
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 βœ— (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% - βœ—

Actual: Denver Nuggets -13 (111-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 36 9-20 4-9 5-7 4 4 3 0 27 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 33 9-16 1-4 7-8 5 3 2 0 26 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 29 3-10 1-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Reggie Jackson * 29 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 10 - -
Ivica Zubac * 21 7-9 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 0 15 - -
Lou Williams 24 8-13 2-6 5-6 2 7 1 0 23 - -
JaMychal Green 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 - -
Patrick Patterson 21 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Rodney McGruder 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Terance Mann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Joakim Noah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokić * 28 7-11 1-4 2-4 7 13 0 0 17 - -
Jamal Murray * 25 3-8 2-7 2-2 3 6 0 0 10 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 25 4-10 0-4 3-4 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Torrey Craig * 23 4-8 2-4 0-1 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Paul Millsap * 22 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Jerami Grant 28 9-14 4-7 3-4 6 1 1 0 25 - -
PJ Dozier 22 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
MontΓ© Morris 20 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Bol Bol 9 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 7 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 6 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Noah Vonleh 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Troy Daniels 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter