Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | β (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (115-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Henson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 24 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Donta Hall | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khyri Thomas | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick Walton Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 29 | 12-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 22 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter