Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | β (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 10 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 30 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 29 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 28 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 24 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Davis * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 22 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 28 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 27 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewan Hernandez | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter