Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 33 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 20 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter