Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 38 | 7-17 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 22 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 33 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter