Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +28 (127-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 8-23 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 30 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 19 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Čančar | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter