Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | β (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | β |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (115-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 33 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 26 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 19 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 11-27 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo * | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez | 24 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter