Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | β (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (113-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 43 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 9-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 39 | 10-21 | 0-5 | 10-11 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 13 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andre Roberson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter