Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | β (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 14-29 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 21 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 27 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 35 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 25 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 23 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter