Boston Celtics
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1200 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1146 (#7) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.1 (#1) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.681 (#3) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.656 (#5) | NetEff +6.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.818 (#3) | AdjNet +13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.820 (#3) | AdjNet +13.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.774 (#3) | AdjO 116.4 | AdjD 102.9 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-23 | @ | PHI | L | 93 - 107 |
| 2019-10-25 | vs | TOR | W | 112 - 106 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ | NYK | W | 118 - 95 |
| 2019-10-30 | vs | MIL | W | 116 - 105 |
| 2019-11-01 | vs | NYK | W | 104 - 102 |
| 2019-11-06 | @ | CLE | W | 119 - 113 |
| 2019-11-08 | @ | CHA | W | 108 - 87 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ | SAS | W | 135 - 115 |
| 2019-11-12 | vs | DAL | W | 116 - 106 |
| 2019-11-14 | vs | WAS | W | 140 - 133 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | GSW | W | 105 - 100 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | SAC | L | 99 - 100 |
| 2019-11-19 | @ | PHX | W | 99 - 85 |
| 2019-11-21 | @ | LAC | L | 104 - 107 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ | DEN | L | 92 - 96 |
| 2019-11-25 | vs | SAC | W | 103 - 102 |
| 2019-11-28 | vs | BKN | W | 121 - 110 |
| 2019-11-29 | @ | BKN | L | 107 - 112 |
| 2019-12-01 | @ | NYK | W | 113 - 104 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | MIA | W | 112 - 93 |
| 2019-12-06 | vs | DEN | W | 108 - 95 |
| 2019-12-10 | vs | CLE | W | 110 - 88 |
| 2019-12-12 | @ | IND | L | 117 - 122 |
| 2019-12-13 | vs | PHI | L | 109 - 115 |
| 2019-12-19 | @ | DAL | W | 109 - 103 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | DET | W | 114 - 93 |
| 2019-12-22 | vs | CHA | W | 119 - 93 |
| 2019-12-25 | @ | TOR | W | 118 - 102 |
| 2019-12-27 | vs | CLE | W | 129 - 117 |
| 2019-12-29 | vs | TOR | L | 97 - 113 |
| 2019-12-31 | @ | CHA | W | 109 - 92 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | ATL | W | 109 - 106 |
| 2020-01-05 | @ | CHI | W | 111 - 104 |
| 2020-01-07 | @ | WAS | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2020-01-09 | vs | SAS | L | 114 - 129 |
| 2020-01-10 | @ | PHI | L | 98 - 109 |
| 2020-01-12 | vs | NOP | W | 140 - 105 |
| 2020-01-14 | vs | CHI | W | 113 - 101 |
| 2020-01-16 | vs | DET | L | 103 - 116 |
| 2020-01-17 | @ | MIL | L | 123 - 128 |
| 2020-01-19 | vs | PHX | L | 119 - 123 |
| 2020-01-21 | vs | LAL | W | 139 - 107 |
| 2020-01-23 | vs | MEM | W | 119 - 95 |
| 2020-01-24 | @ | ORL | W | 109 - 98 |
| 2020-01-26 | @ | NOP | L | 108 - 123 |
| 2020-01-28 | @ | MIA | W | 109 - 101 |
| 2020-01-30 | vs | GSW | W | 119 - 104 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | PHI | W | 116 - 95 |
| 2020-02-03 | @ | ATL | W | 123 - 115 |
| 2020-02-05 | vs | ORL | W | 116 - 100 |
| 2020-02-07 | vs | ATL | W | 112 - 107 |
| 2020-02-09 | @ | OKC | W | 112 - 111 |
| 2020-02-11 | @ | HOU | L | 105 - 116 |
| 2020-02-13 | vs | LAC | W | 141 - 133 |
| 2020-02-21 | @ | MIN | W | 127 - 117 |
| 2020-02-23 | @ | LAL | L | 112 - 114 |
| 2020-02-25 | @ | POR | W | 118 - 106 |
| 2020-02-27 | @ | UTA | W | 114 - 103 |
| 2020-03-01 | vs | HOU | L | 110 - 111 |
| 2020-03-03 | vs | BKN | L | 120 - 129 |
| 2020-03-05 | @ | CLE | W | 112 - 106 |
| 2020-03-06 | vs | UTA | L | 94 - 99 |
| 2020-03-08 | vs | OKC | L | 104 - 105 |
| 2020-03-10 | @ | IND | W | 114 - 111 |
| 2020-07-31 | @ | MIL | L | 112 - 119 |
| 2020-08-02 | vs | POR | W | 128 - 124 |
| 2020-08-04 | @ | MIA | L | 106 - 112 |
| 2020-08-05 | vs | BKN | W | 149 - 115 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ | TOR | W | 122 - 100 |
| 2020-08-09 | vs | ORL | W | 122 - 119 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ | MEM | W | 122 - 107 |
| 2020-08-13 | vs | WAS | L | 90 - 96 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jayson Tatum
|
SF | 66 | 33.8 | 23.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 18.6 | 17.1 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 40.3 | 81.2 | - | 56.7 | 52.7 |
Kemba Walker
|
PG | 56 | 30.6 | 20.4 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 15.9 | 14.6 | - | - | - | 42.5 | 38.1 | 86.4 | - | 57.5 | 52.6 |
Jaylen Brown
|
SG | 57 | 33.4 | 20.3 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 15.6 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 48.1 | 38.2 | 72.4 | - | 58.3 | 55.4 |
Gordon Hayward
|
SG | 52 | 33.0 | 17.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 15.9 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 38.3 | 85.5 | - | 59.5 | 56.1 |
Marcus Smart
|
SG | 60 | 31.5 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 12.3 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 34.7 | 83.6 | - | 51.8 | 47.6 |
Daniel Theis
|
C | 65 | 23.5 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 56.6 | 33.3 | 76.3 | - | 63.1 | 60.3 |
| Enes Kanter | C | 38 | 17.3 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 59.0 | 20.0 | 66.7 | - | 61.0 | 59.2 |
Brad Wanamaker
|
SG | 71 | 18.8 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5.1 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 36.3 | 92.6 | - | 57.7 | 49.9 |
Robert Williams III
|
C | 29 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.4 | - | - | - | 72.7 | 0 | 64.7 | - | 72.8 | 72.7 |
Tremont Waters
|
G | 11 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 38.1 | 32.7 |
Grant Williams
|
PF | 69 | 14.6 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 25.0 | 72.2 | - | 50.5 | 46.9 |
| Javonte Green | G | 48 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 27.3 | 66.7 | - | 56.4 | 53.6 |
Semi Ojeleye
|
SF | 69 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 40.8 | 37.8 | 87.5 | - | 56.2 | 53.1 |
Carsen Edwards
|
- | 37 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 32.8 | 31.6 | 68.4 | - | 44.4 | 42.2 |
Tacko Fall
|
- | 7 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 78.6 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 75.1 | 78.6 |
Romeo Langford
|
G | 32 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 35.0 | 18.5 | 72.0 | - | 43.4 | 38.1 |
Vincent Poirier
|
- | 22 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 47.2 | 50.0 | 85.7 | - | 52.5 | 48.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG