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Boston Celtics

Also known as: Boston Celtics
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1200 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1146 (#7) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +14.1 (#1) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.681 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.9 More → 0.656 (#5) NetEff +6.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.818 (#3) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.820 (#3) AdjNet +13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.4 | AdjD 102.9 More → 0.774 (#3) AdjO 116.4 | AdjD 102.9

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 @ PHI L 93 - 107
2019-10-25 vs TOR W 112 - 106
2019-10-26 @ NYK W 118 - 95
2019-10-30 vs MIL W 116 - 105
2019-11-01 vs NYK W 104 - 102
2019-11-06 @ CLE W 119 - 113
2019-11-08 @ CHA W 108 - 87
2019-11-09 @ SAS W 135 - 115
2019-11-12 vs DAL W 116 - 106
2019-11-14 vs WAS W 140 - 133
2019-11-16 @ GSW W 105 - 100
2019-11-17 @ SAC L 99 - 100
2019-11-19 @ PHX W 99 - 85
2019-11-21 @ LAC L 104 - 107
2019-11-23 @ DEN L 92 - 96
2019-11-25 vs SAC W 103 - 102
2019-11-28 vs BKN W 121 - 110
2019-11-29 @ BKN L 107 - 112
2019-12-01 @ NYK W 113 - 104
2019-12-04 vs MIA W 112 - 93
2019-12-06 vs DEN W 108 - 95
2019-12-10 vs CLE W 110 - 88
2019-12-12 @ IND L 117 - 122
2019-12-13 vs PHI L 109 - 115
2019-12-19 @ DAL W 109 - 103
2019-12-21 vs DET W 114 - 93
2019-12-22 vs CHA W 119 - 93
2019-12-25 @ TOR W 118 - 102
2019-12-27 vs CLE W 129 - 117
2019-12-29 vs TOR L 97 - 113
2019-12-31 @ CHA W 109 - 92
2020-01-04 vs ATL W 109 - 106
2020-01-05 @ CHI W 111 - 104
2020-01-07 @ WAS L 94 - 99
2020-01-09 vs SAS L 114 - 129
2020-01-10 @ PHI L 98 - 109
2020-01-12 vs NOP W 140 - 105
2020-01-14 vs CHI W 113 - 101
2020-01-16 vs DET L 103 - 116
2020-01-17 @ MIL L 123 - 128
2020-01-19 vs PHX L 119 - 123
2020-01-21 vs LAL W 139 - 107
2020-01-23 vs MEM W 119 - 95
2020-01-24 @ ORL W 109 - 98
2020-01-26 @ NOP L 108 - 123
2020-01-28 @ MIA W 109 - 101
2020-01-30 vs GSW W 119 - 104
2020-02-01 vs PHI W 116 - 95
2020-02-03 @ ATL W 123 - 115
2020-02-05 vs ORL W 116 - 100
2020-02-07 vs ATL W 112 - 107
2020-02-09 @ OKC W 112 - 111
2020-02-11 @ HOU L 105 - 116
2020-02-13 vs LAC W 141 - 133
2020-02-21 @ MIN W 127 - 117
2020-02-23 @ LAL L 112 - 114
2020-02-25 @ POR W 118 - 106
2020-02-27 @ UTA W 114 - 103
2020-03-01 vs HOU L 110 - 111
2020-03-03 vs BKN L 120 - 129
2020-03-05 @ CLE W 112 - 106
2020-03-06 vs UTA L 94 - 99
2020-03-08 vs OKC L 104 - 105
2020-03-10 @ IND W 114 - 111
2020-07-31 @ MIL L 112 - 119
2020-08-02 vs POR W 128 - 124
2020-08-04 @ MIA L 106 - 112
2020-08-05 vs BKN W 149 - 115
2020-08-07 @ TOR W 122 - 100
2020-08-09 vs ORL W 122 - 119
2020-08-11 @ MEM W 122 - 107
2020-08-13 vs WAS L 90 - 96

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayson Tatum Jayson Tatum SF 66 33.8 23.4 7.0 3.0 1.4 0.9 0.0 18.6 17.1 - - - 45.0 40.3 81.2 - 56.7 52.7
Kemba Walker Kemba Walker PG 56 30.6 20.4 3.9 4.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 15.9 14.6 - - - 42.5 38.1 86.4 - 57.5 52.6
Jaylen Brown Jaylen Brown SG 57 33.4 20.3 6.4 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 15.6 14.7 - - - 48.1 38.2 72.4 - 58.3 55.4
Gordon Hayward Gordon Hayward SG 52 33.0 17.5 6.7 4.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 13.5 15.9 - - - 50.0 38.3 85.5 - 59.5 56.1
Marcus Smart Marcus Smart SG 60 31.5 12.9 3.8 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 11.4 12.3 - - - 37.5 34.7 83.6 - 51.8 47.6
Daniel Theis Daniel Theis C 65 23.5 9.2 6.6 1.7 0.6 1.3 0.0 6.6 12.8 - - - 56.6 33.3 76.3 - 63.1 60.3
Enes Kanter C 38 17.3 8.9 8.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.0 6.6 12.8 - - - 59.0 20.0 66.7 - 61.0 59.2
Brad Wanamaker Brad Wanamaker SG 71 18.8 6.9 2.0 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.1 7.4 - - - 44.8 36.3 92.6 - 57.7 49.9
Robert Williams III Robert Williams III C 29 12.9 5.2 4.4 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.0 3.0 9.4 - - - 72.7 0 64.7 - 72.8 72.7
Tremont Waters Tremont Waters G 11 10.1 3.6 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 2.8 - - - 28.6 16.7 100.0 - 38.1 32.7
Grant Williams Grant Williams PF 69 14.6 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 3.1 4.9 - - - 41.2 25.0 72.2 - 50.5 46.9
Javonte Green G 48 9.3 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 3.9 - - - 50.0 27.3 66.7 - 56.4 53.6
Semi Ojeleye Semi Ojeleye SF 69 14.2 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 3.6 - - - 40.8 37.8 87.5 - 56.2 53.1
Carsen Edwards Carsen Edwards - 37 8.9 3.3 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 2.2 - - - 32.8 31.6 68.4 - 44.4 42.2
Tacko Fall Tacko Fall - 7 4.1 3.3 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.0 2.0 4.3 - - - 78.6 0 33.3 - 75.1 78.6
Romeo Langford Romeo Langford G 32 11.2 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.5 2.2 - - - 35.0 18.5 72.0 - 43.4 38.1
Vincent Poirier Vincent Poirier - 22 5.5 1.9 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.6 3.0 - - - 47.2 50.0 85.7 - 52.5 48.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG