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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 77.5% 22.5% -6.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -12 (106-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 14-22 8-12 0-0 4 1 0 2 36 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 8-19 3-7 5-5 7 2 1 0 24 - -
Gordon Hayward * 30 5-7 1-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 4-16 4-9 0-0 6 3 2 1 12 - -
Daniel Theis * 23 4-9 0-3 2-2 9 3 0 0 10 - -
Brad Wanamaker 25 4-6 2-2 3-3 5 4 1 0 13 - -
Enes Freedom 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Grant Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Carsen Edwards 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 37 5-6 2-2 5-5 8 2 2 0 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 10-24 5-12 3-6 4 10 0 3 28 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 36 8-12 1-1 1-3 19 3 0 1 18 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 5-14 2-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 3-10 1-5 0-0 2 0 3 0 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 20 3-11 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Mario Hezonja 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Swanigan 10 2-2 0-0 4-5 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter