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2020-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +21 (116-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 37 9-14 0-0 5-9 9 5 1 0 23 24 -
Tobias Harris * 32 4-12 1-2 1-1 6 1 1 0 10 6 -
Shake Milton * 29 3-8 1-4 4-4 4 0 3 0 11 10 -
Al Horford * 28 4-11 1-6 0-0 9 4 0 0 9 11 -
Joel Embiid * 23 1-11 0-4 9-9 5 1 0 2 11 8 -
Furkan Korkmaz 25 4-9 2-6 4-4 4 2 1 0 14 12 -
Matisse Thybulle 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Mike Scott 17 2-6 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 6 6 -
Raul Neto 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 -
Trey Burke 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
James Ennis III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Zhaire Smith 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 36 13-23 1-10 5-7 9 1 2 0 32 21 -
Gordon Hayward * 35 1-11 0-3 2-2 9 2 1 0 4 5 -
Marcus Smart * 34 5-8 1-2 5-6 4 4 2 0 16 18 -
Jayson Tatum * 28 7-19 3-6 8-10 3 4 1 1 25 15 -
Daniel Theis * 26 2-3 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 5 9 -
Brad Wanamaker 26 5-9 2-5 3-4 1 3 2 0 15 12 -
Semi Ojeleye 24 2-3 1-2 6-6 5 0 1 0 11 14 -
Grant Williams 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
Romeo Langford 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
Javonte Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tacko Fall 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter