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2020-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (122-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vučević * 37 11-27 3-11 1-2 11 1 0 0 26 - -
Gary Clark * 33 5-8 4-6 1-1 7 0 0 2 15 - -
D.J. Augustin * 32 3-12 2-4 4-4 1 5 1 0 12 - -
Wes Iwundu * 25 2-7 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 1 9 - -
James Ennis III * 24 4-7 0-2 2-2 10 2 0 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 37 6-17 3-12 3-3 7 2 1 0 18 - -
Markelle Fultz 32 7-18 0-4 2-2 6 10 2 1 16 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 8 - -
Khem Birch 15 0-0 0-0 4-6 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Vic Law 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 10-24 4-12 5-6 9 6 1 1 29 - -
Gordon Hayward * 39 12-18 2-5 5-6 9 5 0 1 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 7-19 3-9 2-3 12 1 2 1 19 - -
Kemba Walker * 31 1-9 0-5 2-3 3 6 0 0 4 - -
Daniel Theis * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 3 6 - -
Marcus Smart 31 3-10 2-5 0-0 1 9 3 0 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 3-5 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Robert Williams III 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Enes Freedom 8 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter