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2020-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 43 8-22 3-10 6-6 7 6 1 1 25 - -
John Collins * 38 10-19 1-4 9-10 10 1 1 1 30 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 1-7 1-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Jeff Teague * 25 1-6 1-1 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 - -
Damian Jones * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 27 7-15 3-9 4-4 2 4 0 1 21 - -
Treveon Graham 25 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 3 10 - -
Vince Carter 24 3-7 2-6 2-2 9 4 1 1 10 - -
Charlie Brown Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 10-19 7-12 5-6 4 6 0 2 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 31 3-8 1-4 2-2 5 6 1 1 9 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 5-14 3-6 2-2 6 6 0 0 15 - -
Enes Freedom * 28 5-11 0-1 6-7 15 0 0 1 16 - -
Grant Williams * 28 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Romeo Langford 28 5-11 2-5 4-6 5 0 1 3 16 - -
Brad Wanamaker 21 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Semi Ojeleye 18 2-7 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Vincent Poirier 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 - -
Tremont Waters 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter