Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -1.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (107-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 31 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 28 | 10-13 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 42 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 11-15 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 29 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 28 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter