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2020-08-05

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Log Adjusted 23.8% 76.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +34 (149-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 28 5-8 0-1 1-1 8 4 1 0 11 - -
Caris LeVert * 27 6-14 0-3 1-3 5 1 2 2 13 - -
Tyler Johnson * 25 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Lance Thomas * 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Joe Harris * 24 6-14 1-5 1-2 6 2 2 0 14 - -
Justin Anderson 18 2-5 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Dzanan Musa 17 4-8 0-1 5-5 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Jeremiah Martin 15 8-12 2-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 20 - -
Donta Hall 15 4-4 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Chris Chiozza 14 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Rodions Kurucs 12 3-3 2-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 10 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Garrett Temple 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 32 2-5 2-3 6-6 5 6 3 0 12 - -
Gordon Hayward * 31 5-15 1-4 7-8 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 23 7-13 5-9 2-3 4 2 1 1 21 - -
Daniel Theis * 21 4-8 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Jayson Tatum * 18 7-11 5-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 19 - -
Romeo Langford 25 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 2 4 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 4-7 0-1 5-6 3 5 2 2 13 - -
Robert Williams III 18 7-7 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 3 18 - -
Semi Ojeleye 17 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Carsen Edwards 10 2-4 2-3 1-3 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Javonte Green 6 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Grant Williams 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Enes Freedom 4 3-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter