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2020-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (90-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Brown Jr. * 33 5-16 2-5 5-6 8 3 3 1 17 16 -
Thomas Bryant * 32 10-15 2-4 4-6 9 2 4 2 26 28 -
Isaac Bonga * 29 2-7 1-2 1-2 3 4 2 0 6 8 -
Jerome Robinson * 27 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 4 -
Johnathan Williams * 25 2-7 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 1 5 16 -
Ish Smith 30 5-13 0-0 1-2 3 8 1 2 11 12 -
Jarrod Uthoff 24 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 4 -
Moritz Wagner 19 2-7 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 0 7 10 -
Jerian Grant 17 1-6 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 0 6 5 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javonte Green * 34 8-17 3-9 4-4 4 0 0 0 23 10 -
Semi Ojeleye * 31 4-11 2-6 3-3 8 2 1 0 13 13 -
Romeo Langford * 30 3-9 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 6 5 -
Tremont Waters * 29 2-14 1-7 2-2 3 4 5 0 7 5 -
Enes Freedom * 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 8 11 -
Grant Williams 24 2-7 1-5 2-2 8 2 0 1 7 11 -
Carsen Edwards 23 3-11 1-5 1-3 4 0 1 0 8 2 -
Brad Wanamaker 17 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 6 -
Vincent Poirier 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 3 2 12 -
Tacko Fall 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 10 -
Robert Williams III 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter