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2020-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (128-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 44 8-20 5-14 9-9 2 16 0 1 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 41 7-17 3-7 0-0 8 4 2 1 17 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 5-14 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 13 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 32 12-20 1-3 5-5 9 5 2 1 30 - -
Zach Collins * 27 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 33 7-12 7-11 0-0 1 1 1 1 21 - -
Hassan Whiteside 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Mario Hezonja 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 11-22 5-8 7-9 4 8 2 1 34 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 10-18 6-8 4-6 6 1 2 0 30 - -
Gordon Hayward * 34 6-10 4-5 6-6 8 3 1 0 22 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 3 1 1 9 - -
Kemba Walker * 22 5-6 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 1 14 - -
Marcus Smart 33 0-4 0-2 3-4 5 4 3 2 3 - -
Enes Freedom 19 4-7 0-0 3-6 8 2 0 1 11 - -
Brad Wanamaker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter