Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | -5.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-7 | 5-9 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 28 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danuel House Jr. * | 39 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 38 | 9-19 | 7-16 | 17-18 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 13-23 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Frazier II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| William Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter