Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -1 (111-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 30 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 36 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter