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2020-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -
Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (116-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 34 8-15 6-8 4-4 4 1 0 0 26 - -
Nikola Vučević * 32 5-12 1-5 1-4 10 2 0 1 12 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 7-15 1-3 8-10 10 4 2 1 23 - -
Markelle Fultz * 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Wes Iwundu * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Terrence Ross 29 5-16 3-9 5-6 2 1 2 1 18 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 24 3-5 1-2 5-6 1 6 3 2 12 - -
Gary Clark 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Khem Birch 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Mo Bamba 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Amile Jefferson 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
BJ Johnson 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 8-18 0-2 2-5 5 0 0 0 18 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-24 5-11 6-7 8 5 3 2 33 - -
Gordon Hayward * 35 10-16 2-3 1-1 7 7 2 0 23 - -
Romeo Langford * 28 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Enes Freedom * 25 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 7 - -
Brad Wanamaker 25 3-8 2-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Grant Williams 22 5-6 3-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 13 - -
Javonte Green 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Semi Ojeleye 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Tacko Fall 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tremont Waters 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter