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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.8% 44.2% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% -
Points Off/Def 66.3% 33.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 12-17 2-4 3-5 5 6 2 0 29 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 8-21 4-10 8-8 11 3 1 1 28 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 3-10 1-4 3-6 3 10 0 1 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 10-17 2-5 3-5 8 0 1 1 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 9-14 1-2 6-6 16 0 0 1 25 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 1-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Romeo Langford 19 0-3 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 - -
Enes Freedom 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 35 10-18 4-8 3-3 4 1 0 1 27 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 5-16 1-9 7-8 6 13 0 0 18 - -
Naz Reid * 32 7-15 2-5 3-4 9 1 3 0 19 - -
Josh Okogie * 27 3-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 2 0 10 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 26 5-10 4-5 3-6 5 0 1 1 17 - -
Jarrett Culver 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
James Johnson 20 2-9 1-4 4-4 6 1 1 4 9 - -
Kelan Martin 16 0-4 0-3 4-4 3 3 0 1 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 13 3-7 3-3 2-2 2 3 1 2 11 - -
Allen Crabbe 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter